Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Jerome FordRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Browns vs. Bears
Right now, Jerome Ford’s rushing yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-105/-125).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 42.5 (-125) after it opened @ 42.5 (-115).
Pros
- The predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns as the 9th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 44.5% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
- Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projection model to call 66.2 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
- The Cleveland Browns have run the most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 66.2 plays per game.
- The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
- With a remarkable total of 49.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (75th percentile), Jerome Ford ranks as one of the top pure runners in the NFL this year.
Cons
- The opposing side have rushed for the 2nd-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 85.0 per game) vs. the Bears defense this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
54
Rushing Yards
54
Rushing Yards
