Week 15 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Aaron Jones from EV Insight

Aaron JonesRushing Yards

Right now, Aaron Jones’s rushing yards prop is set at 37.5 yards (+104/-142).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 37.5 (-142) after it opened @ 49.5 (-117).

Pros

A rushing game script is indicated by the Packers being a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s contest.
Among all RBs, Aaron Jones grades out in the 79th percentile for rush attempts this year, comprising 41.8% of the workload in his team’s ground game.
When talking about run-blocking (and the significance it has on all ground game metrics), the offensive line of the Green Bay Packers grades out as the 6th-best in football last year.
As it relates to the defensive ends’ role in run defense, Tampa Bay’s unit has been terrible this year, grading out as the worst in football. in football.

Cons

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 127.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Packers have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 56.4 plays per game.
Aaron Jones’s 35.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season represents a meaningful reduction in his rushing skills over last season’s 64.0 mark.
Aaron Jones’s rushing efficiency has tailed off this year, notching just 3.72 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.13 rate last year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
47
Rushing Yards