Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Rashid ShaheedReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Saints vs. Giants
Right now, Rashid Shaheed’s receiving yards prop is set at 40.5 yards (-110/-120).
The public has bet the OVER up to 40.5 (-110) after it opened @ 35.5 (-115).
Pros
- The model projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The 3rd-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the New Orleans Saints this year (a massive 62.1 per game on average).
- The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
- In this week’s game, Rashid Shaheed is anticipated by the projections to slot into the 79th percentile among wide receivers with 7.0 targets.
- This year, the poor Giants defense has been gouged for a massive 176.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wideouts: the 6th-most in the league.
Cons
- The Saints are a 6.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating a rushing game script.
- The New Orleans Saints O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all pass game statistics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
63
Receiving Yards
63
Receiving Yards
