Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tyreek Hill from EV Insight

Tyreek HillReceiving Yards

Right now, Tyreek Hill’s receiving yards prop is set at 76.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

In this week’s contest, Tyreek Hill is projected by the predictive model to find himself in the 97th percentile among wide receivers with 10.3 targets.
Tyreek Hill has been heavily involved in his team’s passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 31.0% this year, which puts him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Tyreek Hill has notched substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (110.0) this season than he did last season (92.0).
Tyreek Hill’s 75.8% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a significant progression in his receiving prowess over last season’s 70.8% rate.
Tyreek Hill’s pass-game effectiveness has gotten better this season, compiling 11.16 adjusted yards-per-target compared to just 9.41 mark last season.

Cons

This week’s line implies an extreme running game script for the Dolphins, who are a huge favorite by 8.5 points.
Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins as the 11th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.8% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 6th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Dolphins this year (a mere 55.6 per game on average).
Opposing teams have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
81
Receiving Yards