Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Travis KelceReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Patriots vs. Chiefs
Right now, Travis Kelce’s receiving yards prop is set at 66.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 66.5 (-110) after it opened @ 63.5 (-114).
Pros
- Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 62.0% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.
- The leading projections forecast Travis Kelce to total 9.1 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 100th percentile among tight ends.
- With an exceptional 23.8% Target% (99th percentile) this year, Travis Kelce rates as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads in the league.
- When talking about air yards, Travis Kelce ranks in the lofty 99th percentile among tight ends this year, averaging a whopping 64.0 per game.
- With a stellar 76.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (100th percentile) this year, Travis Kelce places as one of the best pass-catching TEs in the league.
Cons
- The Chiefs are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.
- This year, the strong New England Patriots defense has yielded the 5th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing TEs: a mere 6.6 yards.
Projection
THE BLITZ
74
Receiving Yards
74
Receiving Yards
