Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Travis Kelce from EV Insight

Travis KelceReceiving Yards

Right now, Travis Kelce’s receiving yards prop is set at 66.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 66.5 (-110) after it opened @ 63.5 (-114).

Pros

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 62.0% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast Travis Kelce to total 9.1 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 100th percentile among tight ends.
With an exceptional 23.8% Target% (99th percentile) this year, Travis Kelce rates as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads in the league.
When talking about air yards, Travis Kelce ranks in the lofty 99th percentile among tight ends this year, averaging a whopping 64.0 per game.
With a stellar 76.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (100th percentile) this year, Travis Kelce places as one of the best pass-catching TEs in the league.

Cons

The Chiefs are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.
This year, the strong New England Patriots defense has yielded the 5th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing TEs: a mere 6.6 yards.

Projection

THE BLITZ
74
Receiving Yards