NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Noah FantReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Seahawks vs. Eagles
Right now, Noah Fant’s receiving yards prop is set at 19.5 yards (-139/+108).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 19.5 (+108) after it opened @ 21.5 (-117).
Pros
- With a 6.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
- Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks as the 2nd-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally lead to better passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.
- The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in football (41.6 per game) this year.
- With an exceptional 76.3% Adjusted Completion Rate (76th percentile) this year, Noah Fant has been among the best possession receivers in the league among tight ends.
Cons
- The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to call the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.2 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
- The Seahawks have called the fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.5 plays per game.
- Noah Fant’s 16.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 24.6.
- The Philadelphia Eagles defensive ends profile as the 4th-best DE corps in football this year with their pass rush.
Projection
THE BLITZ
19
Receiving Yards
19
Receiving Yards
