Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Noah Fant from EV Insight

Noah FantReceiving Yards

Right now, Noah Fant’s receiving yards prop is set at 19.5 yards (-139/+108).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 19.5 (+108) after it opened @ 21.5 (-117).

Pros

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks as the 2nd-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally lead to better passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in football (41.6 per game) this year.
With an exceptional 76.3% Adjusted Completion Rate (76th percentile) this year, Noah Fant has been among the best possession receivers in the league among tight ends.

Cons

The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to call the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.2 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Seahawks have called the fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.5 plays per game.
Noah Fant’s 16.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 24.6.
The Philadelphia Eagles defensive ends profile as the 4th-best DE corps in football this year with their pass rush.

Projection

THE BLITZ
19
Receiving Yards