Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Keenan Allen from EV Insight

Keenan AllenReceiving Yards

Right now, Keenan Allen’s receiving yards prop is set at 62.5 yards (-115/-113).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 62.5 (-113) after it opened @ 63.5 (-115).

Pros

The Chargers may pass less in this week’s contest (and call more rushes) since they be rolling with backup quarterback Easton Stick.
The Chargers are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chargers to pass on 62.0% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Raiders pass defense has conceded the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (68.7%) versus WRs this year (68.7%).

Cons

The predictive model expects the Chargers to run the 10th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.0 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
Keenan Allen’s ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 76.4% to 73.0%.

Projection

THE BLITZ
87
Receiving Yards