NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Jaylen WaddleReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Dolphins vs. Jets
Right now, Jaylen Waddle’s receiving yards prop is set at 67.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 67.5 (-110) after it opened @ 64.5 (-110).
Pros
- This week, Jaylen Waddle is expected by our trusted projection set to place in the 94th percentile among wideouts with 9.1 targets.
- Jaylen Waddle has been a big part of his team’s pass game, garnering a Target Share of 23.6% this year, which places him in the 85th percentile among wideouts.
- Jaylen Waddle has notched a massive 78.0 air yards per game this year: 83rd percentile among wide receivers.
- Jaylen Waddle rates as one of the leading WRs in the game this year, averaging a remarkable 73.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 92nd percentile.
- Jaylen Waddle’s 68.6% Adjusted Catch% this season indicates an impressive boost in his pass-catching prowess over last season’s 65.0% rate.
Cons
- This week’s line implies an extreme running game script for the Dolphins, who are a huge favorite by 7 points.
- Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins as the 11th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 56.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
- The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The 6th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Dolphins this year (a mere 55.6 per game on average).
- Opposing teams have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
67
Receiving Yards
67
Receiving Yards
