Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Jaylen Waddle from EV Insight

Jaylen WaddleReceiving Yards

Right now, Jaylen Waddle’s receiving yards prop is set at 67.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 67.5 (-110) after it opened @ 64.5 (-110).

Pros

This week, Jaylen Waddle is expected by our trusted projection set to place in the 94th percentile among wideouts with 9.1 targets.
Jaylen Waddle has been a big part of his team’s pass game, garnering a Target Share of 23.6% this year, which places him in the 85th percentile among wideouts.
Jaylen Waddle has notched a massive 78.0 air yards per game this year: 83rd percentile among wide receivers.
Jaylen Waddle rates as one of the leading WRs in the game this year, averaging a remarkable 73.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 92nd percentile.
Jaylen Waddle’s 68.6% Adjusted Catch% this season indicates an impressive boost in his pass-catching prowess over last season’s 65.0% rate.

Cons

This week’s line implies an extreme running game script for the Dolphins, who are a huge favorite by 7 points.
Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins as the 11th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 56.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 6th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Dolphins this year (a mere 55.6 per game on average).
Opposing teams have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
67
Receiving Yards