Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Gerald EverettReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Raiders vs. Chargers
Right now, Gerald Everett’s receiving yards prop is set at 30.5 yards (-137/+100).
The public has bet the OVER up to 30.5 (-137) after it opened @ 26.5 (-119).
Pros
- The Chargers may pass less in this week’s contest (and call more rushes) since they be rolling with backup quarterback Easton Stick.
- The Chargers are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
- Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chargers to pass on 61.0% of their opportunities: the 8th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
- At the present time, the 2nd-fastest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Los Angeles Chargers.
- This year, the anemic Raiders pass defense has given up a whopping 79.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 3rd-largest rate in football.
Cons
- After averaging 31.0 air yards per game last season, Gerald Everett has seen a big decline this season, currently averaging 18.0 per game.
- Gerald Everett has put up quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (28.0) this season than he did last season (37.0).
Projection
THE BLITZ
35
Receiving Yards
35
Receiving Yards
