NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
DK MetcalfReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Seahawks vs. Eagles
Right now, DK Metcalf’s receiving yards prop is set at 65.5 yards (-105/-125).
The public has bet the OVER up to 65.5 (-105) after it opened @ 60.5 (-115).
Pros
- With a 6.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
- Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks as the 2nd-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally lead to better passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.
- The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in football (41.6 per game) this year.
- The model projects D.K. Metcalf to accumulate 8.6 targets in this week’s contest, on balance, placing him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs.
Cons
- The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to call the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.2 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
- The Seahawks have called the fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.5 plays per game.
- D.K. Metcalf’s sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 65.0% to 60.6%.
- This year, the stout Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded the 9th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing WRs: a puny 7.5 yards.
Projection
THE BLITZ
59
Receiving Yards
59
Receiving Yards
