Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for DK Metcalf from EV Insight

DK MetcalfReceiving Yards

Right now, DK Metcalf’s receiving yards prop is set at 65.5 yards (-105/-125).

The public has bet the OVER up to 65.5 (-105) after it opened @ 60.5 (-115).

Pros

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks as the 2nd-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally lead to better passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in football (41.6 per game) this year.
The model projects D.K. Metcalf to accumulate 8.6 targets in this week’s contest, on balance, placing him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs.

Cons

The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to call the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.2 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Seahawks have called the fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.5 plays per game.
D.K. Metcalf’s sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 65.0% to 60.6%.
This year, the stout Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded the 9th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing WRs: a puny 7.5 yards.

Projection

THE BLITZ
59
Receiving Yards