Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Dalton Schultz

Dalton SchultzReceiving Yards

Right now, Dalton Schultz’s receiving yards prop is set at 34.5 yards (-130/+100).

The public has bet the OVER up to 34.5 (-130) after it opened @ 31.5 (-120).

Pros

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this game, implying more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their typical game plan.
At just 26.94 seconds per play, the Houston Texans offense ranks as the 9th-fastest paced in the league (in a neutral context) this year.
In this week’s game, Dalton Schultz is predicted by the predictive model to find himself in the 84th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.4 targets.
Dalton Schultz has totaled a staggering 46.0 air yards per game this year: 93rd percentile when it comes to TEs.
With an excellent 41.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (83rd percentile) this year, Dalton Schultz rates as one of the leading pass-catching TEs in the league.

Cons

The predictive model expects the Houston Texans to be the 8th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Dalton Schultz’s 34.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 39.7.
The Tennessee Titans defense has allowed the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 41.0) versus tight ends this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
36
Receiving Yards