NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Dalton SchultzReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Titans vs. Texans
Right now, Dalton Schultz’s receiving yards prop is set at 34.5 yards (-130/+100).
The public has bet the OVER up to 34.5 (-130) after it opened @ 31.5 (-120).
Pros
- At a -3-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this game, implying more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their typical game plan.
- At just 26.94 seconds per play, the Houston Texans offense ranks as the 9th-fastest paced in the league (in a neutral context) this year.
- In this week’s game, Dalton Schultz is predicted by the predictive model to find himself in the 84th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.4 targets.
- Dalton Schultz has totaled a staggering 46.0 air yards per game this year: 93rd percentile when it comes to TEs.
- With an excellent 41.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (83rd percentile) this year, Dalton Schultz rates as one of the leading pass-catching TEs in the league.
Cons
- The predictive model expects the Houston Texans to be the 8th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
- Dalton Schultz’s 34.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 39.7.
- The Tennessee Titans defense has allowed the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 41.0) versus tight ends this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
36
Receiving Yards
36
Receiving Yards
