Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Dalton Kincaid from EV Insight

Dalton KincaidReceiving Yards

Right now, Dalton Kincaid’s receiving yards prop is set at 40.5 yards (-135/+105).

The public has bet the OVER up to 40.5 (-135) after it opened @ 38.5 (-110).

Pros

The model projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 67.0% pass rate.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see 132.3 total plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
With an impressive 75.2% Route Participation Rate (88th percentile) this year, Dalton Kincaid rates as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads in football.
This week, Dalton Kincaid is anticipated by the predictive model to slot into the 93rd percentile among TEs with 5.9 targets.
Dalton Kincaid grades out as one of the leading TEs in the pass game this year, averaging a fantastic 42.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 85th percentile.

Cons

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.
When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Dallas’s unit has been excellent this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
38
Receiving Yards