Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Chigoziem Okonkwo from EV Insight

Chigoziem OkonkwoReceiving Yards

Right now, Chigoziem Okonkwo’s receiving yards prop is set at 28.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 28.5 (-115) after it opened @ 26.5 (-115).

Pros

The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Chigoziem Okonkwo to accrue 5.2 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.
THE BLITZ projects Chigoziem Okonkwo to be a more important option in his offense’s air attack this week (16.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (9.9% in games he has played).
Chigoziem Okonkwo has been responsible for a colossal 10.2% of his offense’s air yards this year: 81st percentile among TEs.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 11th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run among all games this week at 127.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 52.8 plays per game.
Chigoziem Okonkwo has been among the weakest TEs in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 2nd percentile.
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (59.3%) to TEs this year (59.3%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
48
Receiving Yards