NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
A.J. BrownReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Seahawks vs. Eagles
Right now, A.J. Brown’s receiving yards prop is set at 80.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 80.5 (-110) after it opened @ 82.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (37.5 per game) this year.
- The predictive model expects A.J. Brown to earn 9.3 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among wide receivers.
- After averaging 104.0 air yards per game last year, A.J. Brown has shown good development this year, currently sitting at 121.0 per game.
- A.J. Brown’s 79.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 70.9.
- A.J. Brown has compiled substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (96.0) this season than he did last season (80.0).
Cons
- This game’s line suggests a throwing game script for the Eagles, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
- Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 50.1% of their plays: the lowest clip among all teams this week.
- The model projects the Eagles offense to be the slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 28.45 seconds per snap.
Projection
THE BLITZ
81
Receiving Yards
81
Receiving Yards
