NBA Prop of the Day
Jake Silverman
Russell WilsonPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Lions vs. Broncos
Right now, Russell Wilson’s passing yards prop is set at 224.5 yards (+102/-132).
The public has bet the OVER up to 224.5 (+102) after it opened @ 217.5 (-113).
Pros
- A throwing game script is suggested by the Broncos being a -4.5-point underdog in this week’s contest.
- The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.
- When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Denver Broncos ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year.
- Russell Wilson’s 67.1% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a noteable gain in his throwing precision over last year’s 59.3% figure.
- This year, the feeble Detroit Lions defense has been torched for the 8th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing offenses: a staggering 8.02 yards.
Cons
- With a 58.6% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-least pass-focused offense in the NFL has been the Broncos.
- Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Broncos are predicted by our trusted projection set to call just 61.6 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
- The Broncos have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 53.6 plays per game.
- This year, the formidable Detroit Lions defense has yielded the 8th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to the opposing side: a meager 4.3 YAC.
Projection
THE BLITZ
243
Passing Yards
243
Passing Yards
