Week 15 Player Props: Passing Yards for Mitchell Trubisky from EV Insight

Mitchell TrubiskyPassing Yards

Right now, Mitchell Trubisky’s passing yards prop is set at 196.5 yards (+114/-157).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 196.5 (-157) after it opened @ 207.5 (-110).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 10th-most pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.3% pass rate.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.
Mitchell Trubisky has thrown for significantly more yards per game (177.0) this season than he did last season (7.0).
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 8th-highest clip in the league vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year (73.0%).
The Carolina Panthers safeties grade out as the 6th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 9th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Mitchell Trubisky to attempt 27.0 passes this week, on average: the 4th-least of all quarterbacks.
The Carolina Panthers defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.97 yards-after-the-catch this year: the least in football.
The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line has afforded their QB a measly 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Carolina Panthers pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the fastest in football since the start of last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
170
Passing Yards