Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Jared GoffPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Jets vs. Lions
Right now, Jared Goff’s passing yards prop is set at 222.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 222.5 (-110) after it opened @ 231.5 (-114).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Lions to run the 7th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The New York Jets have stacked the box against opponents on 22.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
- The Detroit Lions have gone for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the NFL), which typically means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.
Cons
- The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
- Opposing offenses have passed for the 3rd-least yards in the NFL (just 208.0 per game) against the New York Jets defense this year.
- Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 6th-lowest level in the league versus the New York Jets defense this year (66.8%).
- The New York Jets pass defense has shown good efficiency this year, giving up 6.72 yards-per-target: the 3rd-least in football.
- The New York Jets cornerbacks profile as the best unit in football this year in pass coverage.
Projection
THE BLITZ
220
Passing Yards
220
Passing Yards
