Week 15 Player Props: Passing Yards for Geno Smith from EV Insight

Geno SmithPassing Yards

Right now, Geno Smith’s passing yards prop is set at 245.5 yards (-110/-120).

The public has bet the OVER up to 245.5 (-110) after it opened @ 240.5 (-115).

Pros

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks as the 2nd-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 62.6% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally lead to better passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.
This week, Geno Smith is expected by the projections to have the 6th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.9.
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in football (41.6 per game) this year.

Cons

The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to call the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.3 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Seahawks have called the fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.5 plays per game.
Geno Smith’s throwing precision has declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 69.4% to 65.4%.
This year, the fierce Philadelphia Eagles defense has given up a feeble 68.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 10th-smallest rate in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
262
Passing Yards