NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Geno SmithPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Seahawks vs. Eagles
Right now, Geno Smith’s passing yards prop is set at 245.5 yards (-110/-120).
The public has bet the OVER up to 245.5 (-110) after it opened @ 240.5 (-115).
Pros
- With a 6.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
- Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks as the 2nd-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 62.6% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally lead to better passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.
- This week, Geno Smith is expected by the projections to have the 6th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.9.
- The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in football (41.6 per game) this year.
Cons
- The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to call the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.3 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
- The Seahawks have called the fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.5 plays per game.
- Geno Smith’s throwing precision has declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 69.4% to 65.4%.
- This year, the fierce Philadelphia Eagles defense has given up a feeble 68.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 10th-smallest rate in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
262
Passing Yards
262
Passing Yards
