Week 14 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Jerome Ford from EV Insight

Jerome FordRushing Yards

Right now, Jerome Ford’s rushing yards prop is set at 46.5 yards (-103/-133).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 46.5 (-133) after it opened @ 48.5 (-115).

Pros

The projections expect the Browns as the 6th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 47.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.5 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Cleveland Browns this year (a massive 66.3 per game on average).
This week, Jerome Ford is forecasted by the model to finish in the 76th percentile among running backs with 13.0 rush attempts.
Jerome Ford has been a much bigger part of his team’s ground game this year (38.6% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (1.9%).

Cons

The Browns may throw the ball less in this week’s game (and call more rushes) since they be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco.
The opposing side have rushed for the 7th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 97.0 per game) vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
55
Rushing Yards