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Week 14 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Isiah Pacheco from EV Insight

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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah PachecoRushing Yards

Player Props – Week 14

Chiefs vs. Bills

Right now, Isiah Pacheco’s rushing yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (-125/-105).
The public has bet the OVER up to 60.5 (-125) after it opened @ 60.5 (-105).

Pros

  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are predicted by the projections to call 65.1 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-most on the slate this week.
  • In this week’s game, Isiah Pacheco is expected by the projection model to find himself in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs with 15.7 rush attempts.
  • Isiah Pacheco has been much more involved in his offense’s run game this season (64.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (40.9%).
  • Isiah Pacheco has run for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (68.0) this season than he did last season (50.0).
  • This year, the fierce Buffalo Bills run defense has surrendered a meager 4.79 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing ground game: the 29th-lowest rate in the league.
Cons

  • Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the 2nd-least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 36.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills linebackers rank as the 4th-best LB corps in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

Projection
THE BLITZ
72
Rushing Yards

Previous Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Puka Nacua from EV Insight Next Week 14 Player Props: Passing Yards for Zach Wilson from EV Insight