Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Noah Fant

Noah FantReceiving Yards

Right now, Noah Fant’s receiving yards prop is set at 15.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

The Seahawks may take to the air less in this game (and call more carries) given that they be forced to start backup quarterback Drew Lock.
The Seahawks are a heavy 14.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 66.6% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (39.8 per game) this year.
Noah Fant’s pass-catching effectiveness has gotten a boost this season, notching 9.77 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a mere 7.62 figure last season.

Cons

The projections expect the Seahawks to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The 8th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Seattle Seahawks this year (a lowly 55.8 per game on average).
After accumulating 25.0 air yards per game last year, Noah Fant has regressed heavily this year, currently pacing 17.0 per game.
Noah Fant’s 16.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 24.6.
This year, the tough 49ers defense has given up a paltry 35.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the 2nd-fewest in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
20
Receiving Yards