Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Brock WrightReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Lions vs. Vikings
Right now, Brock Wright’s receiving yards prop is set at 13.5 yards (-101/-135).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 13.5 (-135) after it opened @ 14.5 (-120).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 134.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
- The Minnesota Vikings defense has allowed the 5th-most receiving yards per game in football (58.0) to TEs this year.
- The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency against TEs this year, conceding 8.18 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-most in football.
Cons
- The Detroit Lions O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
- The Detroit Lions offensive line has given their quarterback just 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
- The Detroit Lions have incorporated play action on just 22.0% of their passing plays since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.
Projection
THE BLITZ
17
Receiving Yards
17
Receiving Yards
