NBA Best Bets of the Day (12/9)

NBA prop betting has been one of my most successful and favorite things to do in the betting world over the last couple years. Over that timeframe, I have created, developed and continuously improved an NBA betting model that projects out each player’s stat line thanks to advanced data and several thousand simulated games. 

I use these projections and compare them against the lines across the different Sportsbooks to determine the best bets of the day.

Let’s get to it. 

Anthony Davis Over 25.5 Points

(-110, FanDuel Sportsbook)

Anthony Davis missed last game with an illness but is probable Friday and should play a key role in an exciting matchup against the 76ers. My model has Davis for around 29 points, providing a strong edge on the line, and he is coming off 99 points total in the last two games that he started and finished. 

Scottie Barnes Over 20.5 Points and Assists

(-110, DraftKings Sportsbook)

My model loves Scottie Barnes Friday, projecting him for over 20 points and also over 7 assists. He gets a great matchup here against the Magic, and I like taking the points-and-assists line just for an added buffer, but also like them on their own. 

Quentin Grimes Over 3.5 Rebounds

(-144, FanDuel Sportsbook)

Quentin Grimes has continued to see increased minutes with Cam Reddish being left on the bench over the last few games, and he has stepped up nicely. He has at least 4 rebounds in four of his last five games and seven of his last nine.