Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Miles SandersRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Eagles vs. Titans
Right now, Miles Sanders’s rushing yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (+108/-148).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 60.5 (-148) after it opened @ 61.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Eagles are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 5th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 48.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Miles Sanders to garner 15.4 carries in this contest, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among RBs.
- Miles Sanders has run for a lot more yards per game (80.0) this season than he did last season (57.0).
Cons
- Opposing teams have rushed for the 2nd-least yards in the league (just 82 per game) against the Tennessee Titans defense this year.
- The Tennessee Titans defensive ends rank as the 2nd-best unit in football this year with their run defense.
- The Philadelphia Eagles have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
- The Philadelphia Eagles have utilized motion in their offense on 28.1% of their plays since the start of last season (3rd-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.
Projection
THE BLITZ
69
Rushing Yards
69
Rushing Yards
