Week 13 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Christian McCaffrey from EV Insight

Christian McCaffreyRushing Yards

Right now, Christian McCaffrey’s rushing yards prop is set at 73.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

This week’s line indicates a running game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 3 points.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to run on 43.9% of their plays: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect Christian McCaffrey to accrue 17.2 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs.
The San Francisco offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in football last year at blocking for the run game.
Christian McCaffrey has run for substantially more adjusted yards per game (93.0) this season than he did last season (68.0).

Cons

The predictive model expects the 49ers to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the 49ers this year (a mere 53.9 per game on average).
Christian McCaffrey has been a more important option in his team’s offense this year, staying on the field for 81.9% of snaps compared to just 71.5% last year.
This year, the stout Philadelphia Eagles run defense has given up a puny 83.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 3rd-fewest in the NFL.
The Philadelphia Eagles defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best collection of DTs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

Projection

THE BLITZ
81
Rushing Yards