Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Treylon BurksReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Eagles vs. Titans
Right now, Treylon Burks’s receiving yards prop is set at 46.5 yards (-115/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 46.5 (-115) after it opened @ 42.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Titans are a 4.5-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Titans to call the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Treylon Burks to accrue 6.5 targets in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among wideouts.
- Treylon Burks has been a big part of his team’s pass game, earning a Target Share of 18.7% this year, which ranks in the 80th percentile among WRs.
- Treylon Burks has garnered a colossal 26.3% of his team’s air yards this year: 79th percentile among wideouts.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 52.7 plays per game.
- The Tennessee Titans O-line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
- Treylon Burks has been among the worst wide receivers in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 1st percentile.
- The Philadelphia Eagles defense has conceded the 7th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 142.0) versus wideouts this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
44
Receiving Yards
44
Receiving Yards
