Week 13 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Michael Pittman from EV Insight

Michael PittmanReceiving Yards

Right now, Michael Pittman’s receiving yards prop is set at 72.5 yards (-120/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 72.5 (-120) after it opened @ 72.5 (-120).

Pros

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Colts are projected by our trusted projection set to run 65.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
The 8th-most plays in football have been run by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.3 per game on average).
This week, Michael Pittman is anticipated by the model to position himself in the 97th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 10.6 targets.
Michael Pittman’s 71.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season shows a substantial boost in his receiving prowess over last season’s 61.0 rate.
This year, the shaky Titans defense has been torched for a colossal 179.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing WRs: the 5th-most in the NFL.

Cons

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Colts to pass on 55.2% of their downs: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Projection

THE BLITZ
75
Receiving Yards