Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Michael PittmanReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Titans vs. Colts
Right now, Michael Pittman’s receiving yards prop is set at 72.5 yards (-120/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 72.5 (-120) after it opened @ 72.5 (-120).
Pros
- Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Colts are projected by our trusted projection set to run 65.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
- The 8th-most plays in football have been run by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.3 per game on average).
- This week, Michael Pittman is anticipated by the model to position himself in the 97th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 10.6 targets.
- Michael Pittman’s 71.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season shows a substantial boost in his receiving prowess over last season’s 61.0 rate.
- This year, the shaky Titans defense has been torched for a colossal 179.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing WRs: the 5th-most in the NFL.
Cons
- Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Colts to pass on 55.2% of their downs: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Projection
THE BLITZ
75
Receiving Yards
75
Receiving Yards
