Week 13 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Logan Thomas from EV Insight

Logan ThomasReceiving Yards

Right now, Logan Thomas’s receiving yards prop is set at 39.5 yards (+110/-143).

The public has bet the OVER up to 39.5 (+110) after it opened @ 35.5 (-115).

Pros

Our trusted projections expect the Commanders offensive strategy to lean 12.9% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy now calling the plays.
This game’s line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Commanders, who are heavy -8.5-point underdogs.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to pass on 67.6% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency among all teams this week.
Logan Thomas has totaled substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (38.0) this season than he did last season (25.0).
This year, the anemic Miami Dolphins defense has been gouged for a staggering 57.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the 7th-most in the league.

Cons

Right now, the 9th-most sluggish paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Washington Commanders.
The Miami Dolphins safeties rank as the 2nd-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
37
Receiving Yards