NBA Best Bets of the Day (12/2)

NBA prop betting has been one of my most successful and favorite things to do in the betting world over the last couple years. Over that timeframe, I have created, developed and continuously improved an NBA betting model that projects out each player’s stat line thanks to advanced data and several thousand simulated games. 

I use these projections and compare them against the lines across the different Sportsbooks to determine the best bets of the day.

Let’s get to it. 

Nikola Jokic Over 24.5 Points

(-110, FanDuel Sportsbook)

The Nuggets will be without Michael Porter again here, and now Jamal Murray is on the injury report as well. Nikola Jokic gets a strong matchup against the Hawks here as well, and my model has Jokic for north of 28 points Friday. 

Jaren Jackson Over 15.5 Points

(-125, DraftKings Sportsbook)

Jaren Jackson has put up at least 16 points in six straight games now, and he continues to be heavily involved as the No. 2 scoring option on this Memphis team with Desmond Bane out. This is a difficult matchup against the 76ers, but I view this line as too low, as my model has him for nearly 19 points. 

Tyler Herro Over 3.5 Assists

(+120, FanDuel Sportsbook)

Jimmy Butler is expected to return here, but Tyler Herro has posted at least 9 assists in three straight games and has been heavily involved in the offense. I still think he continues to see increased usage here in this matchup against Boston.