Week 13 Player Props: Receiving Yards for DK Metcalf from EV Insight

DK MetcalfReceiving Yards

Right now, DK Metcalf’s receiving yards prop is set at 66.5 yards (+100/-130).

The public has bet the OVER up to 66.5 (+100) after it opened @ 65.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.6% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense as the 9th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.38 seconds per play.
The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects DK Metcalf to garner 9.6 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile among wide receivers.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has conceded the 3rd-highest Completion% in football (71.3%) to wideouts this year (71.3%).

Cons

The Seahawks are a 6.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
DK Metcalf has been among the least effective pass-catchers in football, averaging a mere 7.38 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 18th percentile among wideouts
DK Metcalf has been among the bottom WRs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 3.27 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 25th percentile.
The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 4th-fastest in football since the start of last season.
The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on a measly 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
74
Receiving Yards