Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Austin HooperReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Eagles vs. Titans
Right now, Austin Hooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 20.5 yards (-110/-120).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 20.5 (-120) after it opened @ 21.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Titans are a 4.5-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Titans to call the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Austin Hooper to total 4.3 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among TEs.
- Austin Hooper has put up a monstrous 26.0 air yards per game this year: 80th percentile among tight ends.
- Austin Hooper’s receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Completion% jumping from 68.0% to 79.4%.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 52.7 plays per game.
- The Tennessee Titans O-line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
- The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (62.2%) versus tight ends this year (62.2%).
- The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has shown good efficiency vs. tight ends this year, yielding 6.40 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-least in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
29
Receiving Yards
29
Receiving Yards
