Week 13 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Austin Hooper from EV Insight

Austin HooperReceiving Yards

Right now, Austin Hooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 20.5 yards (-110/-120).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 20.5 (-120) after it opened @ 21.5 (-115).

Pros

The Titans are a 4.5-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Titans to call the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Austin Hooper to total 4.3 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among TEs.
Austin Hooper has put up a monstrous 26.0 air yards per game this year: 80th percentile among tight ends.
Austin Hooper’s receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Completion% jumping from 68.0% to 79.4%.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 52.7 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans O-line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (62.2%) versus tight ends this year (62.2%).
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has shown good efficiency vs. tight ends this year, yielding 6.40 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-least in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
29
Receiving Yards