Week 13 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Amari Cooper from EV Insight

Amari CooperReceiving Yards

Right now, Amari Cooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 48.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 48.5 (-110) after it opened @ 49.5 (-114).

Pros

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
The leading projections forecast the Browns to call the 4th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Browns this year (a monstrous 66.5 per game on average).
In this contest, Amari Cooper is expected by the projections to land in the 87th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.0 targets.
Amari Cooper has put up far more air yards this season (102.0 per game) than he did last season (96.0 per game).

Cons

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Browns to pass on 56.5% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
Amari Cooper’s ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 64.9% to 58.2%.
The Rams pass defense has given up the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (56.3%) to wideouts this year (56.3%).
This year, the strong Los Angeles Rams defense has yielded the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wideouts: a measly 7.2 yards.

Projection

THE BLITZ
62
Receiving Yards