Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
A.T. PerryReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Saints vs. Lions
Right now, A.T. Perry’s receiving yards prop is set at 25.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Saints are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their usual game plan.
- The model projects the Saints as the 4th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 63.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
- Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.1 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
- The New Orleans Saints have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 63.7 plays per game.
- The Lions defense has allowed the 10th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (167.0) versus wideouts this year.
Cons
- When talking about pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Saints grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year.
- This year, the formidable Detroit Lions pass defense has conceded the least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing WRs: a meager 3.0 YAC.
Projection
THE BLITZ
48
Receiving Yards
48
Receiving Yards
