Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Will LevisPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Titans vs. Colts
Right now, Will Levis’s passing yards prop is set at 210.5 yards (-115/-113).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 210.5 (-113) after it opened @ 215.5 (-113).
Pros
- The Tennessee Titans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 2.7% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
- The projections expect this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Cons
- The model projects the Tennessee Titans as the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 53.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
- The Tennessee Titans have called the fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 52.2 plays per game.
- Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to pass too much against the Indianapolis Colts, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 34.3 per game) this year.
- As it relates to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year.
- The Indianapolis Colts defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.46 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-fewest in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
190
Passing Yards
190
Passing Yards
