Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Gardner MinshewPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Titans vs. Colts
Right now, Gardner Minshew’s passing yards prop is set at 224.5 yards (-148/+112).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 224.5 (+112) after it opened @ 234.5 (-114).
Pros
- Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Colts are projected by our trusted projection set to run 65.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
- The 8th-most plays in football have been run by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.3 per game on average).
- The Indianapolis Colts offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
- Gardner Minshew’s 63.3% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a noteable progression in his throwing accuracy over last season’s 58.0% mark.
- Opposing QBs have completed passes at the highest clip in football against the Titans defense this year (75.5% Adjusted Completion%).
Cons
- Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Colts to pass on 55.2% of their downs: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
- Gardner Minshew’s 6.62 adjusted yards-per-target this year represents a significant reduction in his throwing efficiency over last year’s 7.8% mark.
Projection
THE BLITZ
218
Passing Yards
218
Passing Yards
