Week 12 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Keaton Mitchell from EV Insight

Keaton MitchellRushing Yards

Right now, Keaton Mitchell’s rushing yards prop is set at 40.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 40.5 (-115) after it opened @ 40.5 (+100).

Pros

This week’s spread implies a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 3 points.
The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 9th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 46.1% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are expected by the predictive model to run 66.5 total plays in this contest: the 6th-most among all teams this week.
As it relates to the defensive ends’ role in stopping the run, Los Angeles’s unit has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in the league. in the league.

Cons

The Ravens boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 3.6% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

Projection

THE BLITZ
42
Rushing Yards