Week 12 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Joe Mixon from EV Insight

Joe MixonRushing Yards

Right now, Joe Mixon’s rushing yards prop is set at 64.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

The projections expect Joe Mixon to accrue 19.3 rush attempts in this game, on balance, placing him in the 96th percentile among RBs.
After making up 68.6% of his team’s carries last year, Joe Mixon has been more involved in the rushing attack this year, now comprising 79.7%.
With an impressive tally of 60.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (86th percentile), Joe Mixon stands as one of the leading pure rushers in the NFL this year.
This year, the poor Steelers run defense has given up a massive 127.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 10th-most in football.
As it relates to the defensive ends’ role in defending against the run, Pittsburgh’s collection of DEs has been very bad this year, projecting as the 9th-worst in the league. in the league.

Cons

The Cincinnati Bengals may lean on the pass less this week (and hand the ball off more) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Browning.
The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-least run-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 32.9% run rate.
At the present time, the 3rd-most sluggish paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Bengals.
The Bengals O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL last year at opening holes for runners.
Joe Mixon grades out as one of the worst RBs in the league at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging a mere 2.60 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 22nd percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
80
Rushing Yards