Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Bijan RobinsonRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Falcons vs. Saints
Right now, Bijan Robinson’s rushing yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 57.5 (-110) after it opened @ 58.5 (-114).
Pros
- At the present time, the 4th-most run-centric team in the league (44.1% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Atlanta Falcons.
- The model projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The 4th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Falcons this year (a staggering 61.9 per game on average).
- In this week’s contest, Bijan Robinson is anticipated by the model to rank in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs with 15.3 carries.
- With a fantastic tally of 54.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (82nd percentile), Bijan Robinson has been among the leading RBs in the NFL this year.
Cons
- The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
- When it comes to the linebackers’ role in defending against the run, New Orleans’s group of LBs has been exceptional this year, profiling as the best in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
70
Rushing Yards
70
Rushing Yards
