Week 12 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tommy Tremble from EV Insight

Tommy TrembleReceiving Yards

Right now, Tommy Tremble’s receiving yards prop is set at 20.5 yards (+100/-130).

Pros

The projections expect the Panthers offensive strategy to skew 6.6% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
A throwing game script is implied by the Panthers being a -3.5-point underdog in this week’s contest.
The Carolina Panthers have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.1 plays per game.
While Tommy Tremble has garnered 4.2% of his offense’s targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much more involved in Carolina’s pass game this week at 11.0%.
Tommy Tremble’s possession skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 62.0% to 85.8%.

Cons

The leading projections forecast the Panthers to run the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Titans, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 33.8 per game) this year.
Tommy Tremble has totaled significantly fewer air yards this season (7.0 per game) than he did last season (16.0 per game).
The Carolina Panthers offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all passing game stats across the board.
Tommy Tremble checks in as one of the weakest tight ends in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.75 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 22nd percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
19
Receiving Yards