Week 12 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Jack Stoll from EV Insight

Jack StollReceiving Yards

Right now, Jack Stoll’s receiving yards prop is set at 12.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 12.5 (-110) after it opened @ 11.5 (-114).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to run the 7th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jack Stoll to be a more important option in his team’s passing offense this week (9.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (3.0% in games he has played).
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the 2nd-worst group of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line has given their QB 2.90 seconds before the pass (best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing game stats across the board.

Cons

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 49.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in the NFL.
Jack Stoll has been among the worst tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging a mere 9.0 yards per game while ranking in the 15th percentile among TEs.

Projection

THE BLITZ
17
Receiving Yards