Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Austin HooperReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Titans vs. Bengals
Right now, Austin Hooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 20.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 20.5 (-110) after it opened @ 21.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects Austin Hooper to accrue 3.8 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking in the 78th percentile among tight ends.
- Austin Hooper has totaled a monstrous 26.0 air yards per game this year: 81st percentile among TEs.
- Austin Hooper’s 28.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 84th percentile for TEs.
- Austin Hooper’s sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Completion% increasing from 68.0% to 80.1%.
- Austin Hooper’s pass-catching efficiency has improved this season, totaling 8.76 yards-per-target vs just 6.62 rate last season.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 52.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Tennessee Titans have called the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 52.7 plays per game.
- The weatherman calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
- The Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded the 5th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 34.0) to TEs this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
27
Receiving Yards
27
Receiving Yards
