Week 12 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Drake London from EV Insight

Drake LondonReceiving Yards

Right now, Drake London’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 49.5 (-110) after it opened @ 51.5 (-114).

Pros

The model projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 4th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Falcons this year (a staggering 61.9 per game on average).
The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
The model projects Drake London to accrue 7.9 targets in this week’s game, on balance, putting him in the 84th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
With a terrific 55.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (76th percentile) this year, Drake London rates among the best wide receivers in the game in the league.

Cons

The projections expect the Falcons as the 11th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Drake London’s 23.3% Target Share this year marks a remarkable drop-off in his air attack utilization over last year’s 29.1% rate.
The Saints pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (59.9%) vs. wide receivers this year (59.9%).
The Saints pass defense has displayed strong efficiency versus wideouts this year, allowing 7.25 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in football.
When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, New Orleans’s CB corps has been very good this year, ranking as the 7th-best in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
65
Receiving Yards