Week 12 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Cameron Brate from EV Insight

Cameron BrateReceiving Yards

Right now, Cameron Brate’s receiving yards prop is set at 16.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 63.2 plays per game.
Cameron Brate has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (62.2% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (41.6%).
Cameron Brate has put up a monstrous 26.0 air yards per game this year: 81st percentile among TEs.

Cons

The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.3 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
Cameron Brate’s sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 63.1% to 59.5%.
Cameron Brate has been among the least efficient pass-catchers in football among TEs, averaging a lowly 5.19 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 9th percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
19
Receiving Yards