Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Will LevisPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Titans vs. Panthers
Right now, Will Levis’s passing yards prop is set at 200.5 yards (+100/-135).
The public has bet the OVER up to 200.5 (+100) after it opened @ 199.5 (-115).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans offensive gameplan to tilt 2.1% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
- This year, the anemic Carolina Panthers defense has conceded the 5th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing offenses: a staggering 5.28 YAC.
Cons
- The Titans are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
- The model projects the Titans as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 50.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
- The model projects this game to see the fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Tennessee Titans have run the fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 52.7 plays per game.
- Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Panthers, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 30.7 per game) this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
180
Passing Yards
180
Passing Yards
