Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Saquon BarkleyRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 11
Commanders vs. Giants
Right now, Saquon Barkley’s rushing yards prop is set at 70.5 yards (-114/-114).
Pros
- Our trusted projections expect the Giants to be the 5th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 47.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
- The leading projections forecast the New York Giants to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
- The Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.
- The leading projections forecast Saquon Barkley to notch 21.5 carries this week, on balance, ranking him in the 100th percentile among running backs.
- Saquon Barkley has picked up 79.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest figures in the NFL when it comes to RBs (96th percentile).
Cons
- At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are giant underdogs in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on passing than their normal approach.
- The New York Giants offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in football last year at blocking for the run game.
Projection
THE BLITZ
92
Rushing Yards
92
Rushing Yards
