Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Najee HarrisRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 11
Browns vs. Steelers
Right now, Najee Harris’s rushing yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 42.5 (-115) after it opened @ 44.5 (-115).
Pros
- Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are forecasted by the predictive model to run 66.9 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
- In this week’s game, Najee Harris is anticipated by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 88th percentile among running backs with 15.5 rush attempts.
- Out of all RBs, Najee Harris grades out in the 89th percentile for carries this year, making up 57.5% of the workload in his offense’s run game.
- The Steelers offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL last year at executing run-blocking assingments.
Cons
- The 5th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a lowly 54.9 per game on average).
- Najee Harris has rushed for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (49.0) this year than he did last year (59.0).
- The Cleveland Browns defense has produced the 4th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, yielding just 3.76 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
- When it comes to the defensive tackles’ role in stopping the run, Cleveland’s collection of DTs has been great this year, projecting as the 6th-best in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
64
Rushing Yards
64
Rushing Yards
