Week 11 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Najee Harris from EV Insight

Najee HarrisRushing Yards

Right now, Najee Harris’s rushing yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 42.5 (-115) after it opened @ 44.5 (-115).

Pros

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are forecasted by the predictive model to run 66.9 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
In this week’s game, Najee Harris is anticipated by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 88th percentile among running backs with 15.5 rush attempts.
Out of all RBs, Najee Harris grades out in the 89th percentile for carries this year, making up 57.5% of the workload in his offense’s run game.
The Steelers offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL last year at executing run-blocking assingments.

Cons

The 5th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a lowly 54.9 per game on average).
Najee Harris has rushed for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (49.0) this year than he did last year (59.0).
The Cleveland Browns defense has produced the 4th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, yielding just 3.76 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
When it comes to the defensive tackles’ role in stopping the run, Cleveland’s collection of DTs has been great this year, projecting as the 6th-best in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
64
Rushing Yards